GTI 5 Weekly Stock Picks - 260916

Proshare

Monday, September 26, 2016 5:39pm / GTI Research

The Nigerian equity market on Friday posted a moderate performance to overhaul previous day decline of 0.17%. In summary, lead indicator, NSE-ASI gained 80.69 absolute points, representing an appreciation of 0.29% to close at 28,247.11 points. Similarly, the Market Capitalization gained N27.72 billion, representing a growth of 0.29% to close at N9.70 trillion.

The upturn was strongly impacted by price appreciation recorded in some large capitalized stocks (in percentage terms), amongst which are; 7-Up Bottling Coy. (+7.0%), Okomu OilPalm (+5.56%), Flour Mills (+4.98%), Total Nigeria (+4.05%), DangCem (+1.13%), GSK (+0.51%) and Guinness Nigeria (+0.25%). Week-on-week, the market gained 388.63 absolute points, representing a growth of.

Kindly note that the equity price of TRIPPLEG PLC was adjusted today for a dividend of N0.03 as declared by the board of directors. The last close price was N1.46, hence the ex-div price N1.43. Please, be guided accordingly.



Julius Berger: The company has a huge public sector portfolio which includes: Permanent Site of the National Institute for Legislative Studies, Abuja, New Residences for Presiding Officers of the National Assembly, Abuja, Rehabilitation & Extension of Airport Expressway, Abuja, Rehabilitation of Badia Roads,Lagos, Lagos–Badagry Expressway,Lagos, Lagos–Ibadan Dual Carriageway, Section 1, Lagos–Shagamu, and many more. (these are all on-going).

We expect that with the focus of the government on infrastructure development a lot of the alloted N1.8trillion (30% of the total budget for 2016) will go to ongoing projects across the country. This will boost JB’s revenue base and profitability for the 2016 fiscal year.

In addition to the on-going projects, the company has also won new projects: Asokoro Conference Centre, Abuja, Dangote Jetty Apapa, Lagos, Uyo–Etinan Road, Akwa Ibom, Upgrade of NLNG MOF Jetty, Bonny Island,Dualisation Oil Mill Elelenwo Akpajo Road, Port Harcourt, No Potholes Programme, Port Harcourt. These in addtion to the company’s other business arms will ensure sustainability in revenue base going forward.



Zenith Bank: Despite the challenges in the Nigerian financial services sector, with rising loan loss provisions as a result of their exposure to the oil and gas sector as well as the potentially toxic power sector, doubts about asset quality and weakening CAR, we still see opportunities in the tier one banks.

Zenith bank has one of the strongest CAR’s in the sector and continues to leverage on its stringent risk assessment framework to mitigate capital erosion. The Bank’s balance sheet size is a major incentive for us at this time because we believe that its size/liquidity is a competitive edge in an economy awash with opportunities like the Nigerian economy. The bank also has strong brand acceptability and a wide branch spread.



Dangote Cement: Dangote Cement is Africa's leading cement producer with three plants in Nigeria and plans to expand into 13 other African countries. The Group is a fully integrated quarry-to-customer producer with production capacity of 29 million tonnes in Nigeria and new operations set to begin across the rest of Sub-Saharan Africa.

The Group plans to have 42 million tonnes capacity by the end of 2016 and 50-60 million tonnes of production, grinding and import capacity in Sub-Saharan Africa by 2016. Dangote Cement's Obajana plant in Kogi State, Nigeria, is the largest in Africa with 13 million tonnes capacity across four lines.

The Ibese plant in Ogun State has four cement lines with a combined installed capacity of 12 million tonnes. The Gboko plant in Benue State has 4 million tonnes capacity. Over time, Dangote Cement has eliminated Nigeria's dependence on imported cement and is transforming the nation into an exporter of the product serving neighboring countries.



International Breweries: Following the acquisition of SABMiller by AB-inBev in the twilight of 2015 in a deal worth about $106billion, AB-inBev now controls 25% of the Global beer market. As a result of this acquisition International Breweries automatically becomes a subsidiary of the largest brewing company in the world.

We expect to see an improvement in operational processes and brewing capacity through technical support from ABinBev. We expect this to boost International Breweries’ margins going forward and provide an option for cheaper source of funds for International Breweries to prosecute its expansion plans.

We expect to see new products introduced and International Breweries competing for a higher market share in Africa’s largest economy where Nigerian Breweries and Guinness currently dominates



GT Bank despite the sector wide challenges, GT Banks makes our recommendation for its astute cost management strategy and proactive balance-sheet deployment and optimization.

The bank is also known for pushing new frontiers in bank service delivery through effective use of ICT. This gives the bank an edge in a competitive homogeneous market and gives it wider reach and a large share of the millennial population.

The Bank also has a healthy balance sheet size and liquidity to take advantage of the opportunities arising from the unfolding Nigerian economy and in addition to this, the rich dividend history makes the bank a top pick when FPI’s and local PFA’s decide to re-enter the market.



Watch List
UBA, NB, Nestle, Dangote Sugar

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