Tuesday, January 08, 2019 07:45AM /
OpEd By Tope Fasua* / Image Credit: Scientific American
In
2002 Jane Bodine was dispatched to go and assist a right-wing, pro-market,
pro-globalization presidential candidate in Bolivia; Pedro Castillo, whose
ratings at the polls were fast waning as he faced up to a more populist
candidate; Rivera. Jane reluctantly accepted the assignment even though she had
gone on a self-imposed early retirement. This time, she wanted to seize
an opportunity to revenge against her archrival in the political strategy
business, Pat Candy, who had been recruited by Castillo’s opponent. Jane was
recruited by some people connected with the ‘American government’, who wanted
Castillo to be the next president – by all means necessary.
There
was much lessons to learn from Ms. Bodine as she eventually kicked in to do her
duties. She reminds us that voting does not really matter, and that if voting
could change anything, ‘they’ will make such a thing illegal and beyond the
contemplation of the ordinary people. She didn’t say who the ‘they’ were.
She reminds us that a lot – if not most – of the rhetoric we see and hear
during election seasons, are planted by those who know, and they watch it
germinate; the chief aim being to affect the minds of voters in a certain way.
She said they (political strategists) were in the business of advertisement –
creating demand for products that people don’t need, knowing fully well that
such products may be useless- or harmful – to the people. But once they achieve
their aims, they move on to the next customer. She offered invaluable
advice on the thinking of the populace; For example “when people are scared,
they vote for fighters, but when they have hope, they look for people with
ideas”. She didn’t offer to tell us who people vote when they are both
scared and hopeless.
Anyway,
after the adoption of a lot of tricks, including digging up past deeds of
opponents, smear campaigns, lies, causing insurrection and all sorts, she
managed to reverse the polls for her principal and get him to win the elections
by a thin margin. However, Castillo, who had promised Bolivians that there will
be a referendum to determine whether or not to approach the IMF for loans, was
promptly cornered by the IMF upon resumption, and signed a loan agreement
without contacting the people. This led to mass disenchantment and widespread
riots on the streets of La Paz, the Bolivian capital. One other remarkable
event in the whole saga was an argument between Bodine and her principal,
Castillo, who had wanted to assert his authority. Bodine reminded him that she
had been in the business of planting leaders in developing countries for too
long, and that people like him (Castillo) and herself were mere puppets and
pawns in the hands of more powerful people.
Well,
this is just the summary of a movie I watched on a plane recently, titled Our
Brand is Crisis.
Image Credit: Behance
It
is a movie about political strategists, produced by George Clooney and Grant
Heslov. The movie got me thinking about my present circumstances as someone
contesting for Nigeria’s presidency, and who certainly may not feature in the
firmament of interests of the people who install and uninstall leaders in these
parts of the world. In fact, my politics is deliberately designed to put such
interests off. But the first question to ask is; is this true? Or do these
things exist only in the imaginations of some people?
I
dug in further to see what I could come up with regarding the movie. The reviews
were very critical. It turns out that the 2016 movie was actually a
rehash of a failed American intervention in Bolivia in 2002. The real
strategists used in Bolivia were from the firm of Greenberg Caville Shrum which
has very close links with the Clintons. The president they installed was
Gonzalo Sanchez de Lozada (nicknamed Goni) a returnee former president of
Bolivia who had by then lived for so long in the USA and become so disconnected
his people called him ‘El Gringo’ (the American). The chief opponent was Evo
Morales, who is president till today, and who rode in a few years after Goni
had to escape the riots. Morales did not have American strategists
working on his side, contrary to the depiction in the movie.
According
to an acerbic review by salon.com, “Goni’s second term as president barely
lasted a year, after his plans to allow an international consortium to build a
pipeline and ship Bolivian natural gas to North America at dirt-cheap prices
sparked a massive popular uprising. Facing a general strike and a series of
confrontations between soldiers and protesters that left at least 67 civilians
dead, Goni imposed martial law in October 2003, and the U.S. State Department
issued a statement offering its full support… That was almost certainly the
final straw. Goni fled the country five days later, and now lives in exile in
the U.S., which has refused to extradite him to Bolivia to face trial for
extrajudicial killings and other crimes against humanity…”
Back
to the movie. It had to end well. Sandra Bullock’s character, Jane Bodine
decided to join the protest that brought down the man she installed, while her
opponents and colleagues went on to more lucrative appointments around the
world – usually in developed countries. This brings up the fact that
there is usually much interest in our elections by powers that be. Is it
possible to win an election in Nigeria without having them on side? The USA
moved against Goodluck Jonathan in 2015. The moment Barack Obama made an
unprecedented two minutes video which urged Nigerians to choose carefully and
not be intimidated as they opened ‘the next chapter’, I knew Goodluck was gone.
Nothing gets more explicit than that in the world of Diplomatese. At a later
date, I would fear that the Americans who ‘installed’ Buhari knew he would turn
out this way.
They
always look far ahead and study people keenly before supporting them. There is
nothing Buhari is doing today that they didn’t anticipate. There is an
industrial complex behind ‘political strategy/lobbying’. They are organized,
methodical, ruthless, many times heartless and they are not in the business of
making mistakes. But it is not only Americans that are in the business. We hear
that the Russians intervene in American elections too. So the Cold War era
espionage we read through Mark Garland and Malik escapades in James Hadley
Chase novels are still around but only more sophisticated, and countries like
Nigeria are usually the willing guinea-pigs.
Question
- If we cannot escape these interventions, how can we use them to achieve
positive results? Can countries have input so that such interventions from ‘big
brother’ countries are not used strictly to further impoverish developing
countries by installing weak leaders, confused and ineffectual leaders or
greedy ones? Can such interventions look far beyond resource grab? For
now, the best we can do is write and ruminate about this reality. No more.
Anyway
we hear of how the PDP candidate at least has hired a top of the range American
strategist – Brian Ballard, for $90,000 a month. I saw another American
strategist boasting about being hired by the same PDP on Facebook. In 2015, the
APC team hired Barack Obama’s team (AKPD Message and Media) headed by David
Axelrod and paid top dollar to get themselves installed. News in town is that
Axelrod, Plouffe and co. has been rehired. What is the hope for younger
candidates who cannot afford these luxuries? Will we ever see a situation where
a young candidate will emerge? And if such a candidate will emerge, certainly
they will have to be sponsored by the usual suspects. What will Nigeria pay,
after the fact? I mean what will be their pound of flesh? Also, when will this
usual attitude of emptying Nigeria’s little resources abroad end? Our local
political strategists are already complaining. But whether local or foreign, is
the entire business not built upon mass deceit? It will be great for some of
them in the business to begin to point to good causes.
That
said, my involvement in politics so far has shown me that there is a handful of
candidates especially for the presidency who may even be young, but desperate
enough to approach whoever can give that power – through connections, through
finance etc. Some of them may make a mark now, while some may stick to the
power game long enough to be forces to reckon with in the future. It looks like
one has to be desperate for raw power in order to get near the ‘Villa’ or any
state house. Still those who did so in the past have only screwed up the
country. Someone once suggested to me that I should approach ‘the CIA’ in order
to win the election. Very interesting, only that I do not need power that
desperately; settled in the knowledge that the terrain is very slippery. Many
Nigerian politicians – young and old – are ready to approach all sorts of power
brokers (especially foreign), but they usually like to observe and choose their
quarry.
So,
many politicians in this country go around thinking they are the ‘chosen’ when
they are only on a decoy, or at best, speaking with low-level operatives. Such
dalliances never come for nothing anyway. There will be huge compromises which
one may find impossible to accomplish or which puts one’s nation and people in
a far worse situation than they presently are. For me, I am in this for impact.
Nigeria must get better, whatever it takes. My strength is in my ideas, the
passion with which I communicate them, my honesty and innocence.
The
desperation that was obvious in the beginning is the real reason why the
attempt of younger candidates to work together rapidly unraveled. After that
event, all self-respecting aspirants simply put up their guards. No one wants
to be the pawn, or worse still be traded off like some slave at the political
stakes. We have also seen the activities of the desperate candidates who
continue to wangle their ways into every photo op, and every opportunity for
relevance and attention. If that is what it takes to win an election, then I
could only wish them luck. If all one thinks about is the prestige of being a
president, governor, senator or councilor, such a person is part of the problem
of this country.
Let me close this by quoting Jane Bodine in ‘Our Brand is Crisis’ when she said: “No one watches a car race to see who wins, only who crashes and goes up in flames.” She explained that the same goes for politics. For me, he that is down needs fear no fall… and he whose expectations are honest and modest, and driven by altruism, plus positive impact for the masses, will never be disappointed.
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About the Author
Tope Kolade Fasua is a Nigerian businessman, economist and writer. He is the founder and CEO of Global Analytics Consulting Limited, an international consulting firm with its headquarters in Abuja, Nigeria. He is the presidential candidate of the Abundant Nigeria Renewal Party (ANRP), which he founded. He can be contacted via e-mail at ceo@global-analytics.co.uk
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