Low GDP Growth Rate in Nigeria: A New Norm?

Proshare

Monday, September 03, 2018 12:44 PM /FSDH Research

The real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate of 1.50% recorded in Q2 2018 was below the expectations of most analysts. The GDP numbers reflect the impact of the rising uncertainties in the country. The low growth and contraction across many sectors of the Nigerian economy also underscore the need for an urgent set of policies and engagements to rescue the economy.

Although the fragile growth was driven by the Non-Oil sector, the fact that dominant sectors of the economy either recorded low growth or contracted in Q2 2018 indicates that urgent actions are required. Agriculture, which is the largest sector of the Nigerian economy at 22.86%, recorded a marginal growth of only 1.19%. FSDH Research notes that the slow growth in the Agriculture sector, if not checked, may lead to food shortage in the country and consequently escalating food prices and rising inflation rate.

Trade, which is the second largest sector of the Nigerian economy, contracted by 2.14% and also entered a recession in Q2 2018. The weak purchasing power in the country (occasioned by non-payment of salaries, high unemployment rate and high consumer prices) is responsible for the contraction in the Trade sector. Improvement in the business environment that can lead to job creation and payment of salary of workers, particularly among the state civil servants, will stimulate purchasing power.

FSDH Research observes strong growth in the Information & Communication and the Construction sectors of the economy. The growth in internet data consumption and increase in road and rail construction works across the country are the major drivers of the growth in the Information & Communication and the Construction respectively. We believe the two sectors can achieve higher growth rates given the enormous potentials inherent in these sectors.

The contraction in the Real Estate sector can be reversed if government at all levels partners with private sector operators to provide affordable housing units for Nigerians. Government can provide land, lower the cost of registration and perfection of titles, and provide long-term loans for their employees.

The current low GDP growth rate is not strong enough to stimulate credit creation. It has also increased the risk of doing business in Nigeria. Therefore, urgent measures are required so that low GDP growth rate does not become a new norm in Nigeria.

Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.

 

Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Related News

1.       Nigeria’s GDP Grew by 1.50% YoY in Real Terms in Q2 2018

2.      Q1 2018 GDP Figure: Still Miles Away From An Escape Velocity

3.      Nigeria’s GDP Grew in Real Terms by 1.95% in Q1 2018

4.      Nigeria’s Economic Outlook For September 27, 2018 - Conference Registration

5.      Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary – WE 31st August, 2018

6.      Manufacturing PMI Stands at 57.1% In August 2018 from 56.8% in July 2018

7.      President Buhari to attend 7th FOCAC Summit in China

8.     FG committed to fast-tracking ERGP Implementation

9.      Proshare WebTV Discourse on Q2, 2018 Nigeria GDP Report and Implications

10.  Udoma - There’s Urgent Need To Moderate Rapid Population Growth In Nigeria

11.   Perspective on Youth Participation in Nigeria’s Economic Development

12.  2018 Second Quarter GDP and The Missing Growth Syndrome

13.  Nigeria’s Q2, 2018 GDP Report: 5 Takeaways

14.  Nigeria’s GDP Grew by 1.50% YoY in Real Terms in Q2 2018

15.   How Oil Price and Production Swings Determine The Fate of A Nation – The Nigerian Experience

16.  Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary – WE 24th August, 2018

17.   Total Value of Capital Importation into Nigeria Stood at $5,513.55m in Q2 2018 - NBS

18.  Economy Out of Recession - NBS

 

READ MORE:
Related News
SCROLL TO TOP