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Labour Productivity Rose to N684.43 in 2016 - NBS

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Thursday, June 8, 2017/ 2:53 PM /NBS 

Introduction

Among important measures of the wellbeing of an economy, is the level and growth of economic output, commonly known as the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).  However, economists and policy makers are also interested in the factors of production that are used in generating such output, as well as the level of efficiency associated with those inputs.  

The productivity of inputs, for example, capital and labour, used in the production process is an important indicator of the relationship between overall economic output and other aspects of the economy, such as the labour market, the money market, the capital market etc.

The efficiency of inputs, or more technically, total factor productivity, refers to the amount of input required to produce a unit of output. It is typically computed as a ratio of output to the input utilised. While the total factor productivity for an economy can be computed this way, this can often be a difficult task, and a more specific and commonly used measure of productivity is labour productivity.  

Specifically, labour productivity refers to the quantity of labour input required to produce a unit of output. This is often the case, even though it is recognised that labour is NOT the only input utilised in the production process.   

High labour productivity can be an important signal of the improvement in real incomes (wages of labour). It also has implications for the conduct of both monetary and fiscal policies.  It is recognised that labour productivity is not necessarily an indicator of the effort of each worker, but it still provides a useful measure of the rewards to labour as a factor in the production process.  In many developing economies with large endowments of labour, measuring the productivity of labour is an important way to understand the dynamics occurring in the labour market, and useful in providing insights to policymakers regarding trends in unemployment, job creation and wages. Ultimately, these have implications for higher economic output and poverty reduction.  

Economic growth in Nigeria, though stable in the past few years, started to experience some a downward trajectory in the fourth quarter of 2014. In the fourth quarter of 2016, Nigeria economy, though showing signs of recovery, recorded its 4th consecutive quarter of negative growth, with the economy declining by 1.58%.  

The constraints on productivity of labour and other factor inputs continues to put a drag on overall economic growth and this was further exacerbated in the fourth quarter of 2016. A growing unemployment rate of 14.2% in the 4th quarter, up from 13.9% in the 3rd quarter, coupled existing infrastructural challenges, remain considerable threats to realising Nigeria’s full economic and productivity potentials. 

The purpose of this brief report is to review recent trends in labour force and labour productivity in Nigeria, with a view to highlighting possible areas of interest in the analysis of labour productivity in Nigeria.

Data

Data used for this report are from the National Bureau of Statistics Labour Force Surveys, as well as the OECD EuroStat database 1. For our purposes, labour productivity is derived as the ratio of total output (annual GDP, current prices) to labour input (total hours worked per year).    

Equation 1: Labour Productivity Formula

 

 

 

Analysis 

Table 1 shows the annual trend in total GDP, number of hours worked as well as the derived labour productivity for the period 2011 – 2016. Labour productivity rose from N471.94 in 2011 to N684.43 in 2016, this represents a 45.0% increase in labour productivity over the 6-year period and a decline of 4.7% between 2015 and 2016.

 

Figure 1: Annual Labour Productivity Trend 2011 - 2016


 

Table 2 below reveals the quarterly path of these variables between Q4 2015 and Q4 2016. Labour productivity increased to N783.51 in Q4, 2016 from N713.77 in Q3, N636.30 in Q2, N605.27 in Q1 and N706.95 in Q4, 2015. Thus, for the period under review, labour productivity increased by 9.8% on quarterly basis and 10.8% year on year. The estimated total number of hours worked increased by 0.48% between Q3 and Q4, 2016, and increased 1.9% between Q4, 2015 and Q4, 2016. 

 

Figure 2: Labour Productivity (Q4, 2015 – Q4, 2016)

  

Q4 2016 saw a rise in labour productivity, the highest levels since Q1, 2015. While the overall level of productivity was high, there were several challenges that generally impacted on output and labour, and indirectly on labour productivity, keeping it below optimal levels.  Some of these issues faced during the quarter were issues that spilled over from Q1 through Q2 and Q3, 2016.  

Investment in the economy was still relatively low, though some government investments were recorded during the quarter, the volume of private investment and foreign direct investments was still considerably low compared to previous years. Power was relatively stable during the quarter, which partly accounted for the increase in Labour productivity but was still lower than the required levels.  

Though there was a contraction in the economy in Q4 in real terms, which was accompanied by an increase in the unemployment rate, the growth in labour productivity implies a gradual increase in labour efficiency employed in the economy, the third consecutive quarterly rise.  

The nature of productivity in the fourth quarter also gives an idea of the main drivers of the growth in labour productivity. The Agriculture sector recorded a growth of 3.39%, the highest among any major economic activity, with the parts of the fourth quarter being the harvest season in the Nigerian agricultural calendar, this may well have added to the growth in labour productivity in Q4, 2016.  

Other major activities that contributed to productivity during the quarter are Transportation and the Creative Sectors of the economy, though both activities relatively low weights compared to other activities like Agriculture, their strong growth during the quarter and the high number of labour they engage would have contributed to the labour productivity during the quarter. 

Figure 3: Labour Productivity Growth Rates (Q4, 2015 - Q4, 2016)

   

Click Here to Download Q4 2016 Labour Productivity (PDF) Report

Latest 2017 NBS Reports 

Q2 2017 

1.     Merchandise Trade Grew By 0.1% - Positive Trade Balance Due to Rising Exports & Falling Imports

2.      Unemployment Rate Rises to 14.2% in Q4’16 from 13.9% in Q3’16 - NBS

3.      Lagos Airport Accounted for 76.5% of International Passengers in Q1 2017 - NBS

4.      FAAC Disburses N496.39bn in April 2017 - NBS

5.      Banking Sector Records 304.31 mln Volume of Transaction in Q1 2017 - NBS

6.      Total Value of Capital Imported into Nigeria in Q1 2017 Estimated at $908.27m - NBS

7.   GDP Contracts by -0.52% in Q1’17 from -1.73% in Q4’16; 5th Consecutive Quarter of Contraction

8.     Average Prices of PMS, AGO, HHK and Cooking Gas Price Watch – April 2017

9.  Average Intercity Transport Fare Increases to N1,587.04 in Apr’17 from N1,466.46 in Mar’17

10.  Average Prices of 1kg of Yam Tubber Increased by 42.45% YoY in April 2017

11.   CPI Drops to 17.24% in April 2017, 0.02% Lower Than 17.26% March Rate

12.  Lagos, Rivers Top IGR for Full Year 2016

13.  Telecoms Subscribers Dropped by 1.33% in Q1 2017 - NBS

14.  Nigeria Imports 4.05bn Litres of PMS in Q1 2017 - NBS

15.   Lagos State has the highest domestic and foreign debt profile in 2016 - NBS

16.  2,556 Road Traffic Crashes Recorded in Q1 2017 - NBS

17.   FAAC Disburses N466.93bn in March 2017

18.  Daily Energy Generation Attained a Peak of 5,846 MW in Q1 2017 - NBS

19.  Average Prices of PMS, AGO, HHK and Cooking Gas Price Watch - March 2017

20. Average Intercity Transport Fare Increases to N1,466.46 in Mar’17 from N1,411.87 in Feb’17

21.  Average Prices of 1kg of Yam Tubber Increased by 63.4% YoY in March 2017

22. CPI Drops to 17.26% in March 2017, 0.52% Lower Than 17.78% February Rate

23. 7.49m Nigerians Are Registered Under the National Pension Scheme As At Q1 2017 - NBS

24. Lagos Airport Accounted for 69.1% of International Passengers in 2016 - NBS

Q1 2017

25.  11,363 Road Traffic Crashes Recorded in 2016 - NBS

26. FAAC Disburses N514.15bn in February 2017

27.  FAAC Disburses N430.16bn in January 2017

28. Average Intercity Transport Fare Decreases to N1,411.87 in Feb’17 from N1430.63 in Jan’17

29. Average Price of 1kg of Rice Increased by 68% YoY in February 2017

30. Average Prices of PMS, AGO, HHK and Cooking Gas Price Watch - February 2017

31.  CPI Drops to 17.78% in February 2017, 0.94% Lower Than 18.72% January Rate

32. Nigeria Produced 43.49m Tons of Solid Minerals in 2016 - NBS

33. NIPOST Generates N8.84bn Revenue in 2016 - NBS

34. Q4 2016 Merchandise Trade Intensity - Total Trade Grows by 6.5% in 2016

35.  Merchandise Trade Grows in Q4 2016 - Records First Quarterly Positive Trade Balance Since Q4 2015

36. GDP Contracts by -1.30% in Q4 and -1.51% for Full Year 2016; Is Nigeria on Its Way Out of Recession?

37.  JAMB Received 11.7m Applications Between 2010 and 2016

38. Average Kerosene Price Increases to N433.84 in Jan'17 from N231.85 in Dec'16

39. Average Intracity Transport Fare Increases to N122 in Jan'17 from N84.29 in Dec'16

40. Average Cooking Gas Price Increases to N2,567.56 in Jan’17 from N2,002.16 in Dec’16

41.  Average Diesel Price Increases to N240.52 in Jan’17 from N196.20 in Dec’16

42. Average Petrol Price Increases to N148.7 in Jan'17 from N146.7 in Dec'16

43. CPI Rises to 18.72% in January 2017, 0.17% Higher Than 18.55% December 2016 Rate

44. GENCOs Issued Total Invoice of N331bn to DISCOs in 2016

45.  Nigeria Produced 5.79 mln Tonnes of Fish Between 2010 and 2015

46. 4,296 Applications Were Received by NAFDAC for New Products Registration in 2016 - NBS

47.  19,833 Vessels Berthed At Nigerian Ports Between 2013 and 2016 - NBS

48. Total Value of Capital Imported into Nigeria in Q4 2016 Estimated at $1,548.88mln - NBS

49. Telecoms Sector Contributes N1,399bn to GDP in Q3 2016 - NBS

50. FAAC Disburses N426.88bn in December 2016 - NBS

51.   Banking Sector Records 910.18m Volume of Transaction in 2016 on Electronic Payment Channels - NBS

52.  Daily Energy Generation Attained a Peak of 3,859.59MW in Q4 2016 - NBS

53.  10.8% of Nigeria's Total Working Population Are Registered Under The National Pension Scheme - NBS

54.  Nigeria Imports 4.83 bn Litres of PMS in Q4 2016 - NBS

55.  72.53% of Nigeria’s Prison Population in 2015 were Un-sentenced - NBS

56.  Lagos, Ogun Top IGR for H1 2016

 

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