What To Expect From The Markets This Week – 110319


Saturday, March 09, 2019 08:00 AM / Proshare Content

Nigeria: Economic Dashboard @ 080319


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Editor’s Pick

Source: Afrinvest Weekly Update – March 08, 2019

Business Environment Reforms: Can Nigeria Regain Initial Steam?
This week, we turn our attention to the ongoing business environment reforms started by the President Buhari administration in 2016. The Presidential Enabling Business Environment Council (PEBEC) is the institution tasked with the reforms that make it easier to do business in Nigeria. The improvements are expected to come in the form of a reduction in cost, time and procedures in starting and running a business. The overall target at the commencement of the reforms was to improve Nigeria’s ease of doing business rank to the top 100. Since 2016, PEBEC has implemented reforms in three phases (National Action Plans
NAP), mainly along the eight core focus areas of the World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business ranking (EoDB). 

The results from the actions takenthree cycles of actions so farhave been mixed. We observed that the largest improvements were in the earlier phases of the programme, as the initial momentum seems to have waned. In the first phase, PEBEC hit the ground running by achieving c.82.0% of its reform targets over a 60-day period from February 2017. This led to an improvement in Nigeria’s EoDB ranking by 24 places to 145 out of 190 countries. The second 60-day National Action Plan expanded the scope of the reforms to include such areas as Selling to Government, Trade Within Nigeria and Trading Across Borders. The reforms achieved a poor success rate of c.52.0%. Between February and April 2018, the third phase of reforms covered nine indicators and the success rate marginally improved to c.62.0%. These reforms improved Nigeria’s score from 52.03 to 52.89 in the 2019 EoDB rankings, but the country slipped one place to 146 out of 190 countries. We suspect that the slow pace of reforms in the second and third phases had a negative impact on the 2019 ranking. 

Business Environment Reforms Necessary but Insufficient to Attract FDI
The fourth National Action Plan has been set in motion by PEBEC, and it is intended to cover ten reform areas from March to April 2019. Since the target is to achieve a ranking within the top 100 when the 2020 EoDB ranking is published in October 2019, we make the case for faster and more effective implementation to achieve a better success rate. This is because strong upward movements in the EoDB rankings require that the pace of reforms is faster in Nigeria than in other countries. We also believe PEBEC must look past implementing reforms on paper, the processes must be institutionalised to generate gains. Anecdotal evidence reveals that Nigerian institutions are slow in transitioning to new processes, thus perpetuating inefficiency and corruption, which have always made doing business difficult. We posit that helping institutions attain quicker transition and monitoring their processes post-reforms is necessary for sustainable improvements. 

We are yet to see strong improvements in FDI in Nigeria due to the business environment, which remains unaccommodating despite reforms instituted of late. This is because a higher EoDB ranking is not sufficient for increased investment. To attract investment, we believe PEBEC and the FG have to look beyond gains in the ranking as business environment reforms must be complemented by pro-business regulations, accommodative monetary and fiscal policies, and the opening up of sectors to private investment. 


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Sunday, March 10, 2019

The National Bureau of Statistics will on this day release the Annual Postal Services Data 2018, Job Creation Q1-Q4 2018 and Q4, 2018 Terms of Trade Report


Monday, March 11, 2019

The Nigeria Bar Association will on this day hold its Monthly General Meetingat Foyer of Lagos High Court, Igbosere, Lagos while JUMIA will on the same day hold the Travel Award at Four Point by Sheraton Lagos.


The National Bureau of Statistics will on this day release the State Disaggregated Mining and Quarrying Data (2018)


Tuesday, March 12, 2019

The Nigerian Indonesian Chamber of Commerce will on this day hold the 4th edition of Manufacturing & Equipment Expo at Landmark Exhibition Centre, Lagos, while 3rd Edition of Multimodal West Africa, Lagos will hold on the same day at Landmark Exhibition Centre, Lagos.


Wednesday, March 13, 2019

The Abex-OOSA Professionals Chartered Accountants will on this day hold aStrategic Tax Planning Session at Sheraton Hotel Ikeja, Lagos


Thursday, March 14, 2019

The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria will on this day hold the 6th UK Zonal Annual Conference & Gala Night at Western Gateway, Royal Victoria Dock London, while the 2019 Consumer Protection Conference will hold on same day with the theme: Consumer-Education as a Way Forward to Consumer Protection.


The National Bureau of Statistics will on this day release the Prison Statistics 2018, while the Presidential Enabling Business Environmental Council will hold the 3rd PEBEC Ease of Doing Business Regulatory Discussion at Civic Center, Ozumba Mbadiwe Avenue, Victoria Island, Lagos.


Friday, March 15, 2019

The National Bureau of Statistics will on this day release the Automotive Gas Oil (Diesel) Price Watch February 2019, Cpi And Inflation Report February 2019, Liquefied Petroleum Gas (Cooking Gas) Price Water February 2019, National Household Kerosene Price Watch February 2019 And Premium Motor Spirit (Petrol) Price Watch February 2019.


Transcorp Hotel Plc will on this day hold its Annual General Meeting at Transcorp Hilton Abuja, Abuja, while the Sales Bootcamp Nigeria Conferenceholds on the same day at LCCI, Nuruden Olowopopo Way Alausa.


The Career Expo 2019 will on this day with the theme: “With the Maximizing your Potential” at Muson Center Ikeja.



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Check out our Events Calendar for event details and follow us on Web, TV, APP and Social Media for updates as the week unfolds. Yours to Serve! 


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Latest Reports This Past Week

1.      2,532 Road Traffic Crashes Occurred in Q4 2018 

2.   GDP By Income and Expenditure Approach Q1 and Q2 2018 - Household Final Consumption Grew by 0.78%

3.     828,502 Employees Employed By 1,110 Registered Private Guard Companies in 2018 - NBS

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Previous Week(s) Market Outlook

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4.     What To Expect From The Markets This Week – 280119

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3.     Nigeria’s Equities Market Erases Previous Day Gain As NSEASI Dips By -0.16%

4.     NSEASI Inches Up By 0.14% As Market Sentiment Remains Positive

5.     Investors Gain N112.88bn As Market Opens The Week On A Positive Note



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