SSA Growth Story: Unsynchronized

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Friday, December 13, 2019   / 03:00PM / United Capital Research / Header Image Credit: FDC

 

The economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) region remained positive in 2019, though, dragged by the weak growth posted by regional heavyweights Nigeria, South Africa, and Angola. Economic recovery remained sluggish in Nigeria and Angola, as the volatilities in the crude oil market, weighed on both countries economic growth. Similarly, economic activities remained underwhelming in South Africa as power cuts - load-shedding - levelled business sentiments.

 

Also, according to World Bank and IMF, Ethiopia, Ivory Coast, Ghana, and Rwanda remained among the region's fastest growing economy in 2019, supported by improved governance, policy stability, higher agriculture and services sector output. This buoyed the supply side activities; even as stronger household consumption and public investment bolstered the demand-side activities. Notably, Ghana recorded a slight slowdown in economic activities as the country commenced life after the end of its 16th IMF bailout program in Apr -19. Also, large interest payments to foreign holders of government bonds kept Ghana's current account in the deficit, despite an improved trade balance which was bolstered by rising oil and gas exports. Additionally, significant volatility in the foreign exchange markets, coupled with elevated inflation, dampened investment sentiments in Ghana.

 

Looking ahead, we expect slow recoveries in the larger economies to continue to constrain the strength of the regional growth amid long-delayed reforms. Nonetheless, we expect growth in the smaller economies to continue to support the region's growth.

 

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Looking Forward

 

Angola

Nov-19 Net Reserves - December 17th

 

Ghana 

Nov-19 Gross Domestic Product- December 18th

 

Kenya

Q3-19 GDP Report - December 31st

Dec-19 Inflation Report - December 31st

 

Morocco

Q3-19 GDP Report - December 16th

Monetary Policy Rate Decision - December 17th

Nov-19 Inflation Report  - December 20th

 

Nigeria

Nov-19 Private Sector Credit - December 21st

Nov-19 Inflation Report  - December 15th

 

South Africa

Nov-19 Trade Balance - December 31st

 

Zambia

Dec-19 Inflation Report  - December 26th

Nov-19 Trade Balance - December 26th

 

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