Monetary Policy Decisions: Four SSA Countries At The Center-Stage

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Friday, November 29, 2019   / 03:00PM / United Capital Research / Header Image Credit: Brand Spur


Monetary policy decisions took the center-stage this week, as four SSA countries (Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria and Mauritius) held their last Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting for the year. Notably, after considering events in the global and domestic space, only the Kenyan MPC delivered a rate cut - its first since Jul-18.

 

Specifically, the Ghanaian MPC left its key policy rate unchanged at 16.0% (the fifth consecutive hold since Jan-19 surprise cut) amid strong economic growth, plummeting inflation and positive external position. Also, the Mauritian and Nigerian MPC left their benchmark rates unchanged at 3.35% and 13.50% respectively, despite slowing economic growth. In Kenya, the MPC cut interest rate from 9.0% to 8.5%, noting the need to drive growth to optimal levels amid expectations for inflation to remain well anchored within the target range. Also, the committee remarked that ongoing tightening of fiscal policy necessitated the need for a more accommodative monetary policy to support economic activity.

 

In terms of forward-looking guidance, the MPC in Ghana, Nigeria and Mauritius struck a neutral tone, adopting a wait and see approach. However, the Kenyan central bank Governor signaled scope for a more accommodative monetary policy stance over the coming quarters.

 

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Looking Forward 

Angola

Oct-19 Net Reserves - November 29th

 

Ghana 

Sep-19 Gross Reserves - November 29th

Nov-19 CPI YoY - December 11th

 

Kenya

Nov-19 Consumer Price Index - November 30th

 

Morocco

Oct-19 Money Supply M3 YoY - November 29th

 

Nigeria

Nov-19 Trade Balance - December 10th

 

South Africa

GDP Annualized QoQ - December 3rd

2020 Budget Presentation - November 29th

 

Mauritius 

Nov-19 Gross Reserves - December 6th

Nov-19 CPI YoY - December 6th

 

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