Monday, June 01, 2015 4.07PM/Research
A review of today’s parallel market activities and oil price behaviour highlights the following:
• Today, the naira traded at N217.00 to a dollar with 0.46% price improvement compared to the N218/$1 it traded before the “democracy day” holiday. This has been the trend in the last 3working days.
• The black market today witnessed low demand levels as market activity is currently at low ebb.
• The Naira exchanged against the pounds sterling between N326 and N330 to £1 while Naira/Euro rate traded at N237/€1.
• Official CBN dollar rate remains at N197/$1.
• Brent crude price was at $65.25 per barrel as at 10.13ET.
Today, the naira exchanged at N217.00 to a dollar. The Nigerian currency closed at N217.00/$1 with 0.46% increase in value compared to the N218.00/$1 last Thursday. The official Naira/USD exchange rate, however, remains at N197/$1.
The value of the naira has since the initial CBN devaluation in November 2014 traded between the band of N173 and N230 to USD1. The graph below shows in pictorial form the volatility of the naira against the dollar in the black market for the last 3weeks as it compares with the official rate.
Oil price continues to swing up and down in the international oil market following initial heavy decline since the last quarter of 2014. Today, the commodity recorded a gain of 5.41% against the previous price of $61.90 to close at $65.25 per barrel. Oil price has dropped by 0.18% in the last 5days. Recall that the initial huge decline in oil price in late 2014 caused the Federal Government of Nigeria to review downwards its benchmark oil price for 2015 budget.
Today’s Brent crude price is $12.25 above the $53 per barrel oil benchmark price for 2015 budget. You would recall that the Federal government of Nigeria initially set the benchmark price for 2015 budget at $78 before the first downward review to $73 of which circumstances forced it to review further down to $65 per barrel, which was proposed in the submitted 2015 appropriation bill to the national assembly but was eventually passed at $53.
Today, the price of Brent Crude oil (Nigeria’s crude oil type) was USD65.25 per barrel while the other variant of crude (WTI) traded at $60.17 per barrel as at 10.13ET.
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1. Speculative tendency drives Black market exchange rate