Friday, May 11, 2018 10:00 PM/Zedcrest Capital
***Nigeria’s Capital Importation grows by 594% in Q1 2018*** - NBS
The bond market closed the week on a weaker note, with yields rising further by c.10bps on average. This was due to the strong liquidity pressures in the System which constrained buying interests in the market. We expect the market to remain slightly depressed in the coming week, as the forecast for liquidity remains gloomy, even as market players have begun to reassess their strategies in reaction to the recent hawkish stance on liquidity and interest rates (OMO) by the CBN.
The T-bills market turned significantly bearish upon announcement of a Retail SMIS by the CBN. The retail announcement caused a significant squeeze in system liquidity and an uptick in yields by c.75bps, as some
Banks were forced to sell off their positions, mostly on the short and medium end of the curve, in a bid to generate liquidity to fund for their bids. We expect this weakness to persist as system liquidity is expected to remain depressed in the near term.
The OBB and OVN rates shot to a 7-Month high of 65.00% and 73.42% as the CBN intervened in the FX market via a retail SMIS, consequently taking system liquidity significantly lower into an estimated net negative position of c.N100bn. We expect rates to remain elevated as the CBN is expected to conduct another Wholesale FX SMIS on Monday.
The Interbank rate depreciated by 0.02% to N305.80/$ from its previous rate of N305.75/$. This was following a retail secondary market intervention sale by the CBN. The NAFEX rate appreciated by 0.09% to N361.05/$, while the total volume traded dropped further by 31% to $126m. Rates in the Unofficial market however remained stable at N361.50/$.
Investors remained bullish on the NGERIA Sovereigns, with yields compressing further by c.13bps across the curve. The 38s and 47s remained favorites, gaining as much as +0.80pt, with the 47s now trading close to par.
The NGERIA Corps were also slightly bullish, with the FBNL 21s and UBANL 22s leading the charts with marginal gains of +0.20pt and +0.30pt respectively.