Proshare - Facebook Proshare - Twitter Proshare - Google+ Proshare - Linked In Proshare - RSS Feed

DMO Raises only Half of Total Bonds Offered in yet another Weak Auction

Proshare

Wednesday, June 27, 2018 / 10:40 PM / Zedcrest Capital

***Funding Rates hit 50% as CBN Further Tightens System Liquidity***

KEY INDICATORS

Inflation

11.61%

Declined by 0.87% in May from 12.48% in April 2018

MPR

14.00%

Left unchanged at 14.00% at the MPC meeting 0n 4 April 2018

External Reserves

$47.63billion

Rose by 0.42% as at 13 June from $47.43bn as at 7 June 2018

Brent Crude

$77.95pb

Rose by 2.36% from $76.15pb on 27 June 2018

 

 

Bonds

The bond market traded on a relatively flat note, as market players shifted focus to the bond auction by the DMO. We however witnessed slight sell on the 2026s which lifted yields higher by c.5bps on average. Results of the FGN Bond auction as published by the DMO confirmed the relative apathy for bonds which has been witnessed recent sessions. Rates on the 5-yr remained unchanged at 13.50% while the 7– and 10-yr bonds rose by 20 & 16bps above their previous stop rates to 13.80% and 13.81% respectively, with the DMO only able to raise about half of its total bond offering of N60bn. We expect the market to remain slightly bearish, with only slight demand expected from some lost bids on the 2028s.

 

FGN Bonds

Description

Bid (%)

Offer (%)

Day Change (%)

16.00 29-Jun-19

12.98

12.39

0.16

15.54 13-Feb-20

13.22

12.43

0.14

14.50 15-Jul-21

13.63

13.36

0.08

16.39 27-Jan-22

13.74

13.25

0.08

14.20 14-Mar-24

13.54

13.34

(0.02)

12.50 22-Jan-26

14.01

13.92

0.09

16.29 17-Mar-27

13.81

13.74

(0.05)

13.98 23-Feb-28

13.93

13.71

0.03

12.15 18-Jul-34

14.05

13.89

0.02

12.40 18-Mar-36

14.05

13.91

0.00

16.2499 18-Apr-37

13.95

13.73

(0.02)

Source: Zedcrest Dealing Desk

 


FGN Bond Auction Result

Maturity

Rate (%)

Offer (N'bn)

Sub (N'bn)

Sale (N’bn)

Apr-23

13.50

20.00

8.29

3.49

Mar-25

13.80

20.00

10.90

6.70

Feb-28

13.81

20.00

47.53

21.03

Source: DMO

 

Treasury Bills

The T-bills market traded on a relatively flat note, as market players remained constrained by the tight liquidity conditions in naira market. Yields consequently stayed flat c.13.00% on average. We expect a slight downtrend in yields tomorrow, as market players anticipate inflows from c.N183bn OMO maturities. This should however be moderated by a likely OMO Auction by the CBN.

 

Treasury Bills

Description

Bid (%)

Offer (%)

Day Change (%)

5-Jul-18

13.25

12.25

0.00

2-Aug-18

12.60

12.35

0.00

13-Sep-18

12.50

11.80

0.00

4-Oct-18

12.50

12.30

0.00

1-Nov-18

12.50

12.35

0.00

6-Dec-18

12.50

12.35

0.00

3-Jan-19

12.30

12.00

0.00

14-Feb-19

12.30

12.00

0.00

14-Mar-19

12.30

11.80

0.00

4-Apr-19

12.30

10.00

0.00

Source: Zedcrest Dealing Desk

 


Money Market

The OBB and OVN rates rose higher to 48.33% and 52.58%, as system liquidity compressed significantly down to c.N60bn from c.N200bn in the previous session. We expect rates to trend slightly lower tomorrow, with inflows from OMO maturities, expected to moderate funding pressures in the system.

 


Money Market Rates

 

Current (%)

Previous (%)

Open Buy Back (OBB)

48.33

31.57

Overnight (O/N)

52.58

38.00

Source: FMDQ, Zedcrest Research 

 

FX Market

The Interbank rate appreciated by 0.02% to N305.75/$ from its previous rate of N305.80/$. The I&E FX rate also appreciated by 0.11% to N360.91/$. In the parallel market, cash and transfer rates remained stable at N360.00/$ and N364.00/$ respectively.

 

FX Market

 

Current (N/$)

Previous ( N/$)

CBN Spot

305.75

305.80

CBN SMIS

330.00

330.00

I&E FX Window

360.91

361.31

Cash Market

360.00

360.00

Transfer Market

364.00

364.00

Source: CBN, FMDQ, REXEL BDC 

 

Eurobonds:

The NGERIA Sovereigns traded on a relatively flat note, with yields ticking slightly higher by c.1bp, following slight sell mostly on the 2023s and 2038s. We however witnessed slight buys on the 2047s which gained c.0.15pt.

 

The NGERIA Corps were mostly bearish, with the most sell off witnessed on the ACCESS 21s, EOTRA 21s and UBANL 22s. We however witnessed some buying interest on the GRTBNL 18s and ZENITH 19s.

 

Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.



Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.

 

 

 Related News

1.       Bond Yields Tick Higher Ahead of Auction Tomorrow

2.       Funding Rates rise above 10pct as CBN Resumes OMO Auction

3.       Borrowing Cost on External Debt to Increase

4.       Lotus Halal Fixed Income Fund Listed On NSE

5.       T-bills Remain Bearish Despite Robust System Liquidity

6.       T-bill Yields Tick Higher Despite Huge OMO Inflows

7.       Offshore Selloff Drives FGN Bond Yields Closer to 14%

8.       DMO Publishes Q1 2018 Debt Data; Total Public Debt Stood At N22.71trn or US$74.28bn

9.       Invest in FGN Monthly Bond Auction – June 2018

10.   Funding rates Crash below 5% as CBN Holds off on OMO ahead of Sallah Break

11.   Market players Stay Cautious despite Projected Decline in Inflation

12.   Investors Remain Bearish on Nigerian Eurobonds ahead of Expected US Rate Hike

13.   Ahead Of Next T-Bills Auction Scheduled 13th of June 2018

READ MORE:
Related News