Rates Fell, as Local Demand Remain High at the PMA NTB Auction

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Thursday, July 16, 2020 / 5:28 AM / by Zedcrest Capital / Header Image Credit: ilearnlot


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FGN Bonds

The FGN space traded on a very lethargic note with very few trades passing through the curve. The market opened one-sided, mostly bided from the mid to the long end of the curve with very few offers to match the bids. Activities picked slightly by mid-day with few trades consummated on the 2034s and 2050s papers which settled around 9.88% and 10.70% levels respectively. Subsequently, Yields stayed flat on the short and mid-dated papers but compressed by an average of c.15bps on the longer-dated maturities by the close of business.

We expect the market to close the week on this calm note while local investor cherry-picks on the few bonds offered at attractive levels.

 

Benchmark FGN Bonds

Description

Bid (%)

Offer (%)

Day Change (%)

 

16.39 27-Jan-22

4.15

3.25

0.00

 

12.75 27-Apr-23

4.85

3.85

0.00

 

14.20 14-Mar-24

5.25

3.80

0.00

 

.13.53 23-Mar-25

6.45

5.35

0.00

 

12.50 22-Jan-26

7.60

7.00

0.00

 

16.29 17-Mar-27

8.55

8.15

0.00

 

13.98 23-Feb-28

8.60

8.10

0.00

 

14.55 26-Apr-29

8.75

8.40

0.00

 

12.15 18-Jul-34

10.00

9.60

(0.20)

 

112.40 18-Mar-36

10.00

9.80

(0.25)

 

16.2499 18-Apr-37

10.15

9.85

(0.05)

 

14.80 26-Apr-49

10.70

10.50

(0.08)

 

 

Treasury Bills

The OMO bills space traded on a quite active note today, with trading activities kicking off the day on short-dated papers. The early hours opened with actions on the October and December bills with trades settling around the mid of 5%, however, by close of business, we saw some late hour tractions on the 08 June papers starting at 6.20% but lost approximately c.25bps to close the day at 5.95% on the offer. As such we say yields compressed by c.66bps D/D across the OMO bill curve.

Contrary to the OMO bills, the NTB space traded on a very quiet note as attention shifted to the outcome of the PMA auction scheduled for today. At the PMA auction, DMO raised approximately c.N107BN the same amount on offer with rates dropping by an average of c.21bps across the three tenors offered.

We expect to see few actions on the NTB space mostly from retail clients, as they sought to fill their outstanding demands from today's auction.

 

 

Primary Market Auction Expectation

 NTB  - 15 Jul 2020
 

Tenor

Rate (%)

Offer (₦'bn)

Sub (₦'bn)

Sale (₦'bn)

Previous Rate (%)

Changes

91 days

1.300

5.85

27.69

8.85

1.7890

-0.0049

182 days

1.800

26.60

63.06

26.60

1.9100

-0.0011

364 days

3.350

74.60

98.40

71.60

3.3900

-0.0004

 

Benchmark OMO Bills

Description

Bid (%)

Offer (%)

Day Change (%)

NGOMO 8/13/2020

6.00

1.20

(1.00)

NGOMO 9/3/2020

6.00

1.20

(1.00)

NGOMO 10/1/2020

6.50

1.20

(0.50)

NGOMO 11/03/2020

6.50

1.20

(0.50)

NGOMO 12/01/2020

6.50

1.20

(1.00)

NGOMO 02/02/2021

7.00

1.20

0.00

NGOMOB 0 03/02/21

7.00

1.20

(1.00)

NGOMOB 0 03/02/21

7.00

1.20

(1.00)

NGOMOB 0 05/11/21

7.00

1.20

0.05

 

Benchmark NTBills

Description

Bid (%)

Offer (%)

Day Change (%)

NIGTB 10/1/2020

3.50

0.10

(0.50)

NIGTB 11/12/2020

3.50

0.10

(0.50)

NIGTB 01/14/2021

4.00

0.10

0.00

NIGTB 02/11/2021

4.00

0.10

0.00

NIGTB 04/29/2021

4.00

0.10

0.00

NIGTB 05/13/21

4.00

0.10

0.00

NIGTB 06/10/21

4.00

0.10

0.00

 

Money Markets 

The interbank rates dropped slightly by an average on c.198bps which was supported by positive system liquidity of approximately N79BN. Consequently, OBB and OVN rates closed the day at 10.00% and 10.79% respectively.

We expect a respite in the interbank market tomorrow as inflows from retail refunds and OMO maturities are credited into the system while interbank rates will most likely drop to single-digits level.


Money Market Rates

 

Current (%)

Previous (%)

Open Buy Back (OBB)

10.00

11.83

Overnight (O/N)

10.79

12.92

 

FX Market

At the FX market, The Naira depreciated by 0.50k at the I&E FX window, as supply squeeze continues to affect the general flow of funds which remained sparely low while most banks remained bided between N386/$ and N389/$. All other market segments stayed flat with the cash and transfer market closing the day at N465/$ and N467/$ respectively.

 

FX Market

Current (N/$)

Previous ( N/$)

CBN Spot

381.00

381.00

CBN SMIS

380.69

380.69

I&E FX Window

386.50

386.00

Cash Market

465.00

465.00

Transfer Market

467.00

467.00

 

Eurobonds

The NGERIA Sovereign tickers traded on a quiet note, although the market remained largely bullish across the curve as offers worsened across the curve. Yields compressed at an average of c.4bps, with gainers seen across the sovereign curve.

Contrary to the sovereign, the NGERIA Corps tickers traded on a bearish note, as yields continue to weaken among most tracked papers. The UBA 2022s and ZENITH 2022s weakened by c.30bps and c.10bps respectively.

 

Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.



Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.



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