Local Investors Turn Bears To Meet Up Regulatory Funding Obligations

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Tuesday, August 04, 2020 / 10:10 PM / By Zedcrest Capital / Header Image Credit: US News Money


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FGN Bonds

The FGN bond space started on a very bearish note triggered by selling actions from some local investors to raise cash for their remittance to PENCOM off the back of MDA staff regularization. The sell-off was majorly witnessed at the belly and tail of the curve especially on the 2026s, 2034s, and 2037s which weakened by an average of c.140bps D/D. The market witnessed a sharp jump in bids causing the bid/offer spread to widening significantly by the close of business. Yields expanded by c.124bps on the average across the benchmark curve.

We expect the bearishness to slow down in tomorrow's trading session as other local investors may look to cherry-pick at these improved yields.

 

Benchmark FGN Bonds

Description

Bid (%)

Offer (%)

Day Change (%)

 

16.39 27-Jan-22

3.72

2.63

(0.02)

 

12.75 27-Apr-23

5.89

4.12

1.06

 

14.20 14-Mar-24

7.16

3.98

1.10

 

13.53 23-Mar-25

9.20

4.47

3.19

 

12.50 22-Jan-26

8.33

5.43

1.98

 

16.29 17-Mar-27

8.62

7.00

0.63

 

13.98 23-Feb-28

10.12

7.05

2.06

 

14.55 26-Apr-29

9.42

7.69

1.09

 

12.15 18-Jul-34

10.51

10.00

0.75

 

12.40 18-Mar-36

10.55

10.00

1.01

 

16.2499 18-Apr-37

10.97

10.29

1.48

 

14.80 26-Apr-49

10.65

10.24

0.50

 

 

Treasury Bills

At the OMO bills space, the tightness in market liquidity caused triggered sell-offs across the curve as the market opened and stayed one-way (all offers and no bids) for most of the trading session. We saw March bills jump by almost 100bps, starting at around 3.65% on the offer but getting to almost 4.65% levels by the close of trading. December and January bills were also part of the major losers in the market, as rates increased by an approximately c.50bps D/D. Consequently, rates expanded by c.67bps compared to yesterday's level.

On the NTB side, although it remained sparely offered, most participants adjusted rates upward to reflect the movement seen in the OMO space. The market stayed calm for most of the trading session.

We expect the bearishness in the OMO space to persist tomorrow, albeit less aggressive especially on the short- and mid-dated maturities.

 

Benchmark OMO Bills

Description

Bid (%)

Offer (%)

Day Change (%)

NGOMO 8/13/2020

6.00

0.01

1.00

NGOMO 9/3/2020

6.00

0.01

1.00

NGOMO 10/1/2020

6.00

0.01

1.00

NGOMO 11/03/2020

6.00

0.01

0.50

NGOMO 12/01/2020

6.00

0.01

0.50

NGOMO 02/02/2021

6.50

1.00

0.50

NGOMOB 0 03/02/21

7.00

1.00

0.50

NGOMOB 0 03/02/21

7.00

1.00

0.50

NGOMOB 0 05/11/21

7.00

1.00

0.50

 

Benchmark NTBills

Description

Bid (%)

Offer (%)

Day Change (%)

NIGTB 10/1/2020

3.00

0.01

0.50

NIGTB 11/12/2020

4.00

0.01

1.00

NIGTB 01/14/2021

3.50

0.10

0.50

NIGTB 02/11/2021

4.00

0.10

0.50

NIGTB 04/29/2021

4.00

0.10

0.50

NIGTB 05/13/21

4.00

0.10

0.00

NIGTB 06/10/21

4.00

0.10

0.00

 

Money Markets

System liquidity figures opened today with c. N268bn positive, as money market rates recoiled by an average of c.N429bps due to reduce funding pressure at the market today. Consequently, OBB and OVN rates closed the day lower at 9.00% and 10.08% respectively.

For tomorrow, we expect the interbank rates to fully slide into a single-digit corridor as the funding pressure remains low amongst the market players.

 

Money Market Rates

 

Current (%)

Previous (%)

Open Buy Back (OBB)

9.00

13.33

Overnight (O/N)

10.08

14.33

 


FX Market

The USD/cash market closed slightly lower compared to yesterday as FX demand dwindle slightly in the space while most of the other market remained relatively flat. However, at the IEFX space, we saw the scarcity of dollars persist with Naira depreciating by N1.00k in that space as most banks remained bid between N387.00 and N389.00 to the dollar.

 

FX Market

Current (N/$)

Previous ( N/$)

CBN Spot

381.00

381.00

CBN SMIS

380.69

380.69

I&E FX Window

389.00

388.00

Cash Market

472.00

473.00

Transfer Market

473.00

473.50

 

Eurobonds

The NGERIA Sovereign tickers continued its gradual rally, as yields compressed by c.20bps D/D. The mid-date papers were the most demanded papers (2031s and 2032s), as demand increased by local participants.

The NGERIA Corps tickers were fairly quiet, except for ACCESS 21s which saw sustained demand interest and strengthened by c.39bps on yield.


Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


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