Bonds & Fixed Income | |
Bonds & Fixed Income | |
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PROSHARE | |
PROSHARE |
Tuesday, June 23, 2020 / 7:36 AM / By Zedcrest Capital / Header Image Credit: AARP
The bulls raced out the gates with demand seen across the benchmark bonds in the first trading session of the week, as investors continue to cover up for bids lost at the primary market auctions (FGN Bond and Sukuk). Bonds within the 20- to 30-year bracket were the most traded papers in the fixed income market as investors scrambled for offers on the most attractive yields on the curve. The auction papers; 2035s and 2050s printed most of the market trades, starting the day offered at 10.60% and 11.65% respectively but lost approximately 10bps and 15bps by the close of business. Consequently, yields compressed by an average of c.17bps across the benchmark bond curve to continue the trend from last week.
We expect the demand for bonds to
persist as local investors continue to scramble for bonds to invest their idle
cash.
Benchmark FGN Bonds |
||||
Description |
Bid (%) |
Offer (%) |
Day Change (%) |
|
14.50 15-Jul-21 |
5.33 |
3.34 |
(0.07) |
|
16.39 27-Jan-22 |
5.71 |
4.09 |
(0.02) |
|
12.75 27-Apr-23 |
7.57 |
6.50 |
(0.24) |
|
14.20 14-Mar-24 |
7.61 |
6.52 |
(0.42) |
|
13.53 23-Mar-25 |
7.88 |
7.11 |
(0.11) |
|
12.50 22-Jan-26 |
9.12 |
8.02 |
(0.10) |
|
16.29 17-Mar-27 |
9.87 |
9.38 |
(0.12) |
|
13.98 23-Feb-28 |
9.89 |
9.13 |
0.00 |
|
14.55 26-Apr-29 |
9.89 |
9.04 |
(0.30) |
|
12.15 18-Jul-34 |
10.82 |
10.37 |
(0.16) |
|
12.40 18-Mar-36 |
10.79 |
10.32 |
(0.21) |
|
16.2499 18-Apr-37 |
10.78 |
10.40 |
(0.29) |
|
14.80 26-Apr-49 |
11.84 |
11.45 |
(0.11) |
|
Treasury Bills
It was a very sluggish trading
session in the treasury bills space opening the week, with a few trades passed
across the market. The market continued to show some love for the latest OMO
issue (25May2021 paper) which traded around higher 5% levels at the early hours
of the session. We also saw few interests in Jan2021 papers, albeit no trades
as the bid/offer spread stood wide apart at 5.80/40%.
The NTB space was awfully quiet
with few retail axes for April papers offered at 2.50%.
We expect the markets to sail
slowly, as system liquidity is expected to remain tight and discourage position
taking in bills.
Benchmark OMO Bills |
|||
Description |
Bid (%) |
Offer (%) |
Day Change (%) |
NGOMO 7/2/2020 |
5.00 |
1.00 |
0.00 |
NGOMO 8/13/2020 |
5.00 |
1.00 |
0.00 |
NGOMO 9/3/2020 |
5.00 |
1.00 |
0.00 |
NGOMO 10/1/2020 |
5.00 |
3.75 |
0.00 |
NGOMO 11/03/2020 |
5.60 |
3.50 |
0.00 |
NGOMO 12/01/2020 |
5.60 |
4.00 |
0.00 |
NGOMO 01/05/2021 |
6.00 |
4.75 |
0.00 |
NGOMO 02/02/2021 |
5.50 |
0.50 |
(0.50) |
NGOMO 03/02/21 |
5.60 |
4.80 |
0.00 |
Benchmark NTBills |
|||
Description |
Bid (%) |
Offer (%) |
Day Change (%) |
NIGTB 2-Jul-20 |
3.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
NIGTB 1-Oct-20 |
4.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
NIGTB 12-Nov-20 |
4.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
NIGTB 14-Jan-21 |
5.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
NIGTB 11-Feb-21 |
5.00 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
Money Markets
Interbank rates remained
relatively high, at double-digit levels, but dropped slightly compared to Friday’s
close even though market liquidity opened the week lower. This may be
attributed to the low funding pressure since there were no major outflows in
the market today. Rates decreased by an average of c.80bps on both OBB and OVN
rates, closing at 14.50% and 15.75% respectively while system liquidity is estimated
to close the day at c.N70BN.
We expect rates to coast around
this double-digit level tomorrow, provided that CBN does not credit CRR refund
to boost market liquidity.
Money Market Rates |
||
|
Current (%) |
Previous (%) |
Open Buy Back (OBB) |
14.50 |
15.17 |
Overnight (O/N) |
15.75 |
16.67 |
FX Market
The drought of
dollar liquidity persisted in the interbank I&E market today, with scanty
volumes passed through with market players bidding between N385.00 and N389.00
to the US Dollar. The CBN rates remained unchanged again for another
consecutive session while the Naira weakened at the parallel market, losing an
average of 0.65% of its value on both the cash and transfer rates.
FX Market |
||
Current (N/$) |
Previous ( N/$) |
|
CBN Spot |
361.00 |
361.00 |
CBN SMIS |
380.69 |
380.69 |
`I&E FX Window |
386.00 |
386.50 |
Cash Market |
455.00 |
451.00 |
Transfer Market |
457.00 |
455.00 |
Eurobonds
The NGERIA Sovereign tickers traded on
a weaker note with more aggressive offers shown across the curve compared to
last week closing, with the 2047s and 2049s papers the greatest losers across
the sovereign curve. Locals showed no interest in papers offered better,
compared to the market, at the belly and the tail of the curve. Consequently,
we saw yields expand on an average of c.11bps across the curve.
The NGERIA Corps tickers also had a
quiet session, while the only movement seen amongst the tracked papers was on
UBA 2022s and SEPPLN 2022s which weakened by c.28bps and c.10bps respectively.
Related News
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2.
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Average Yield Dips 1.2% WoW
3.
Fixed Income Markets
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5.
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6.
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8.
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